Forecasting the winner of the World Cup
Spain top the field on international-results ratings, with Yamal managed carefully in the opener.
16.7% is the weighted average of Spain’s chance of winning the World Cup across 200 simulated draws.
Our ratings from international results place Spain first across both the model camp and the France-contested camp. Yamal's precautionary load management against Cape Verde, confirmed in team news, is targeted at keeping him fit for the knockout rounds rather than signalling a lasting concern.
Spain top the field on international-results ratings, with Yamal managed carefully in the opener.
16.7% is the weighted average of Spain’s chance of winning the World Cup across 200 simulated draws.
Our ratings from international results place Spain first across both the model camp and the France-contested camp. Yamal's precautionary load management against Cape Verde, confirmed in team news, is targeted at keeping him fit for the knockout rounds rather than signalling a lasting concern.












